CBS v. CDC on Swine Flu

November 3, 2009

Dr Horrible

(Guest post by Greg Forster)

Now, I know CBS News is a disreputable tabloid organization – not a highly reliable source of information, like, say, the National Enquirer. But here at JPGB we’ve always said that empirial research should be judged on its own merits, not on the identity of the researcher.

CBS is reporting that states checking up on H1N1 diagnoses have found that only a small (sometimes tiny) portion of those diagnosed by their doctors as having swine flu actually had it. California tested 13,704 cases of people who were told by their doctors that they probably had swine flu and found that only 2% actually had it. Florida tested 8,853 cases and found that only 17% had swine flu. Other states found similar results.

CDC stonewalled CBS’s FOIA requests for the data, saying the state agencies that reported the data didn’t feel confident enough in their accuracy to have them publicly released. Sorry, we’d love to help, but our hands are tied. In the report you can see the CDC spokesman promise that he’ll get those data right to CBS just as soon as the states tell him it’s OK with them to release them.

But when CBS went to the states and asked for the data, they handed them right over.

I can’t imagine why the CDC might feel like it has something to hide. Surely it has nothing to do with the president’s use of swine flu panic as an excuse to claim “emergency powers” to sweep away “bureaucratic obstacles” (formerly known as the rule of law).

Update: OK, admittedly we don’t have all the details here. Maybe there will turn out to be some issue of selection bias at work. But the reason this information isn’t readily available is because of the CDC stonewall. That’s the story here.


Swine Flu Socialism

October 28, 2009

robotinsurance2

Courtesy of the World Health Organization

(Guest post by Greg Forster)

Further to Jay’s post below on how the supposed swine flu “pandemic” is sounding a lot like the ad for Old Glory Robot Insurance:

Michael Fumento, who has made a career out of calling BS on the political abuse of medicine, reports on just how bogus the swine flu panic is – and more importantly, the agenda behind it.

The World Health Organization’s old definition of “pandemic” required an outbreak not only to consist of multiple epidemics around the world, but also to pose an unusually severe threat to life and health before it could be called a pandemic. This was important because plain old ordinary flu causes multiple simultaneous epidemics around the world all the time, but it’s no cause for alarm because the plain old ordinary flu is a routine problem.

But just before swine flu was declared a pandemic, the WHO quietly rewrote the definition of “pandemic” to remove the necessity of an unusually serious threat.

Why’d they have to do that? Because the swine flu is actually less deadly – by orders of magnitude – than the regular flu:

Medically, the pandemic moniker is unjustifiable. When the sacrosanct World Health Organization (WHO) made its official declaration in June, we were 11 weeks into the outbreak, and swine flu had only killed 144 people worldwide — the same number who die of seasonal flu worldwide every few hours. The mildest pandemics of the 20th century killed at least a million people worldwide. And even after six months, swine flu has killed about as many people as the seasonal flu does every six days…

In Australia and New Zealand, flu season has ended, and almost all cases have been swine flu. Yet even without a vaccine, these countries are reporting fewer flu deaths than normal. (In New Zealand, that’s just 18 confirmed deaths compared with 400 normally.) Swine flu is causing negative deaths! [ea]

Update: When I originally posted this I forgot to include this wonderful tidbit. One of the very classy methods being used in the media to hype the swine flu is to report the total number of cases of all types of flu, including even undiagnosed cases with “flu-like symptoms.” Then the total figures for flu deaths and flu cases are falsely reported as swine flu figures.

Why would the WHO want to gin up a baseless panic about swine flu? Partly because they had already over-hyped avian flu and wanted to use a new panic over swine flu to retroactively justify the old panic over avian flu. “The world can now reap the benefits of investments over the last five years in pandemic preparedness,” boasts WHO’s director-general.

And partly it’s for the same reason the Old Glory Insurance Company wants you to believe in robot attacks – money. Apparently WHO makes a living off phony disease scares:

Yet this [CYA for the avian flu scare] doesn’t explain why the agency hyped avian flu in the first place, nor why it exaggerated HIV infections by more than 10 times, or why it spread hysteria over Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). That disease ultimately killed a day’s worth of seasonal flu victims before vanishing.

But the SARS scare was enough, leading to a broad expansion of WHO powers, including a degree of direct authority over national health agencies. It’s now using that to leverage more authority and a bigger budget. No shocker there.

But at least the Old Glory Insurance Company only wanted to take your money. They didn’t want to take your freedom as well. Not so much can be said for the WHO:

What may be surprising is that it wants to use that power to help bring about a global economic and social revolution–and that Director-General Chan was so blunt about it in a speech in Copenhagen last month.

She said “ministers of health” should take advantage of the “devastating impact” swine flu will have on poorer nations to tell “heads of state and ministers of finance, tourism and trade” that:

  • The belief that “living conditions and health status of the poor would somehow automatically improve as countries modernized, liberalized their trade and improved their economies” is false. Wealth doesn’t equal health.
  • “Changes in the functioning of the global economy” are needed to “distribute wealth on the basis of” values “like community, solidarity, equity and social justice.”
  • “The international policies and systems that govern financial markets, economies, commerce, trade and foreign affairs have not operated with fairness as an explicit policy objective.”

In related news, the WHO has announced a new panel of doctors to wield those “special emergency powers” we need to sweep away “bureaucratic obstacles” and combat swine flu. Here they are:

Dr No

Dr Horrible

Dr Doom

Dr Octopus

Dr Evil


Why Did They Make the Roadblocks?

October 27, 2009

 

President Obama’s declaration of a national emergency regarding swine (H1N1) flu reminds me of the Saturday Night Live fake ad for robot insuranceObama’s declaration was described by the AP as having “the goal … to remove bureaucratic roadblocks and make it easier for sick people to seek treatment and medical providers to provide it immediately.”  This raises the question, why were there bureaucratic roadblocks in the first place?

Similarly, in the SNL fake ad for robot insurance, Sam Waterston is the spokesman for Old Glory Insurance Company.  Their policy offers to protect anyone over the age of 50, regardless of previous health condition, against robot attacks.  One elderly woman in the ad wonders: “I don’t know why the scientists make them.” 

I guess we have bureaucratic roadblocks to medical care for the same reason scientists make robots that attack old people and eat their medicine for fuel — so that someone can protect us against these problems.

The good news, according to Mickey Kaus, is that the spread of the swine flu might not be as bad as media outlets are reporting.